Abstract: Based on the 3- year??s mean value, this paper analyzed the changing trend of arable areas of Hebei piedmont,their irrigation conditions as well as the percentage of grain crops on total crops planted ranging from 1995 to 2006.This paper also estimated the grain production capacity in 2009, 2015 and 2020 after the analysis of the grains crops?? productioncapacity changes in the approved test regions from 1996 to 2007. The results show the grain product ion capacitywill be increasing with the implementation of advanced science and technology, improved productivity, the spread of water- saving technology and the protection of arable areas. Otherwise, it will go down.

Key words: Hebeipiedmont, Grainproductioncapacity, Estimate

CLC Number: 

• F3??